A recent study by Intel and market research firm Strategy Analytics shows that by 2050, the size of the economic activity associated with unmanned vehicles will reach $ 7 trillion, including the size of the taxi service provided by unmanned vehicles 4 trillion dollars, unmanned vehicles to provide express and commercial logistics services will reach about 3 trillion dollars.
This huge figure also includes unmanned vehicles in the tourism and medical and other health areas of "new application examples", its size will reach 203 billion US dollars. These unmanned cars were previously unimaginable in the application also included, here are just two examples of mobile salons or mobile restaurants.The study further estimates that the benefits of unmanned vehicles may be higher, only between 2035 and 2045, unmanned vehicles will save more than 500,000 lives, while public safety spending will be reduced by $ 2340.
While not emphasizing that Intel and Strategy Analytics, the study acknowledges that the efficiency of this "passenger economy" will lead to shrinking sectors. Professional drivers, physical retail stores and unmodified carmakers will find that their jobs and revenues are losing.
It is worth noting that the profound contradictions in the way of transport innovation may complicate the conclusion of the study. It is not simply to reduce the time and effort we spend on travel, starting from the human tame horse, every new way of transport in this way to remodel the community: let people spend more time on the trip and fine - - This is a manifestation of the economic phenomenon known as the "Jevons paradox". This paradox is a recent manifestation of "induced demand", such as the new highway is usually instantly blocked.
Although Intel and Strategy Analytics research said that the final unmanned car will save 250 million hours of commute time each year, but others think it may in turn become the source of all "induced demand" events. Although the current global trend is urbanization, unmanned vehicles may actually encourage some people to live in places away from office space, and even more time to travel abroad, because they can still work in the car, entertainment or let the robot pedicure.
Well, unmanned cars may eventually create such a world: we will be on the road more time than ever before. Although this may meet the requirements of a certain efficiency, but may not be our dream of the future.